The Math of the Delegates: It’s Going to be Close. Really Close.
More coverage at Thoughts on the World and The International Relations Blog
So it’s come down to this: an all out fight between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama for the Democratic nomination. Let’s take a quick look at the current numbers:
Obama: 1402 pledged (non-super) delegates
Clinton: 1240 pledged (non-super) delegates
Keep in mind, 2025 delegates are needed to win. And how many non-super delegates are left to win? 566. That means it is mathematically impossible for either candidate to win without the support of the super delegates, unless Florida and Michigan get revotes. And even then, it’s pretty unlikely that either candidate would receive enough votes; races between Clinton and Obama have been close.
Ouch. That’s painful. So how many superdelegates are there? 795. That’s really not a lot. Every vote, quite literally, will count.
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I had a slightly different view… I think its over… even if Sen. Clinton makes a play at the convention - the party will be in full revolt. http://rightcommentary.com/2008/03/22/why-hillary...